Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will head west to take on the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The game gets underway 10:07 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will showcase this AL matchup.

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds

Los Angeles (-150) is favored over Boston (+140) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-155) and Angels +-1.5 runs (+135).

The Red Sox are 13-2 SU and are 8-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.3 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 1.4 units ATS. The Angels, on the other hand, are 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS. The team’s gained 10.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.8 units ATS.

Angels games have an over/under record of 9-7 so far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 8-6-1.

David Price will get the nod for the visiting Red Sox. The left-handed Price is 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face Los Angeles this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record with a 5.73 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The Angels are putting the ball in the hands of righty Shohei Ohtani (2-0, 2.08 ERA), who has 18 punchouts and two walks, as well as a 0.46 WHIP. Ohtani did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has yielded 3.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.45 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense has produced 6.4 runs per outing, including 6.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .335/.392/.518 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani have led the Angels’ hitters so far. Trout is hitting .266/.377/.594 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Ohtani’s line is .367/.424/.767 with three homers, 11 RBIs and five runs.

Trout didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching at home last season. Across 49 such plate appearances, he slashed .150/.306/.350 (compared to his total season line of .306/.442/.629).

In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.06 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 9.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.19, along with a WHIP of 1.04 and a K-per-9 of 10.09.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .275/.351/.447 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 7.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Boston’s hitters have been powered by right fielder Mookie Betts and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Betts is slashing .353/.452/.608 with 18 hits, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Bogaerts is hitting .368/.400/.711 with 14 hits, two homers, nine RBIs and seven runs scored.

The Red Sox have gained 9.3 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 3.0 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in one of those games, compared to two which went under the total.

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in just one of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Red Sox have won 13 of their last 14 games SU while the Angels have won 10 of their last 11 SU.
  • Boston has recorded 28.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.