Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

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The Boston Red Sox will pay a visit to Cleveland to face the Indians at Progressive Field. New England Sports Network will showcase this AL matchup. The game is slated to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas has listed Boston (-110) as the favorite over Cleveland (+100). If you think the game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -115 odds. Picking the over will give you -105 odds. Runline odds stand at +135 for picking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -155 for the Indians +1.5.

The Indians are 71-47 straight up (SU) and 61-56 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 4.5 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Red Sox are 62-58 SU and have gone 50-69 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 24.9 units for moneyline bettors and 25.6 units ATS. Boston is 3-5 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Indians games have had an over/under record of 49-64-4 in 2019. The Red Sox have been a strong over bet with a total record of 71-45-3.

The left-handed Eduardo Rodriguez will get the nod for Boston. Rodriguez is 13-5 with a 4.17 ERA and 140 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Indians will be sending Zach Plesac (6-3, 3.13 ERA) to the mound. Plesac has 54 punchouts and 27 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Plesac is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA in one start against Boston this year.

Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.26 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Cleveland hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .272/.354/.457 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana. Lindor is hitting .300/.356/.522 with 20 home runs, 48 RBIs, 67 runs and 18 steals, and Santana’s line sits at .282/.404/.522 with 25 homers, 70 RBIs and 80 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.11 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.53 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.44, along with a WHIP of 1.36.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .273/.346/.474 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have paced Boston’s hitters. Devers is hitting .317/.365/.563 with 24 home runs, 90 RBIs and 96 runs scored, while Bogaerts is hitting .303/.380/.551 with 25 homers, 87 RBIs and 91 runs scored.

The Indians have gained 7.8 units and are 21-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under.

Red Sox vs. Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Indians have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Cleveland has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.0 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.