Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will make a road trip to Camden Yards to face their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles. New England Sports Network is in line to televise the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+300) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-375) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Red Sox -1.5 runs (-220) and Orioles +1.5 runs (+180).

The Orioles are 35-80 straight up (SU) and 50-66 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 38.5 units for moneyline bettors and 25.4 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 81-35 SU and have gone 71-46 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 30.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 25.5 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 52-60-4 in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 58 times, gone over 55 times and pushed on four occasions.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 50 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.96.

The Baltimore offense has put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .233/.269/.466 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado. Jones is hitting .281/.310/.430 with 12 home runs, 45 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Machado’s line sits at .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.59 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.35, along with a K-per-9 of 9.62.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .269/.340/.461 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Boston’s offensive production has been fueled by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who collectively have belted 62 home runs. Martinez is slashing .331/.397/.657 with 35 home runs, 99 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Betts is slashing .347/.434/.668 with 27 homers, 59 RBIs, 95 runs and 22 stolen bases.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Boston has logged 22 extra-base hits over its last five games. Baltimore has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • Boston fielders have six errors over the last 10 games, compared to 14 errors for Baltimore over its last 10.
  • The Red Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.