Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox are ready to do battle against their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles in a Sunday showdown. The matchup will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Boston (-200) is favored over Baltimore (+185) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 12 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -140 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +120 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Red Sox are 54-45 SU and have gone 42-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.6 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 30-67 SU and 40-56 ATS. They’ve lost 15.8 units for moneyline bettors and 21.6 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 48-43-5 so far in 2019. Red Sox games have gone over 56 times, gone under 39 times and pushed on three occasions.

Andrew Cashner will get the nod for Boston. The right-handed Cashner is 9-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 68 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Orioles will send righty Asher Wojciechowski (0-3, 5.74 ERA) to the hill. Wojciechowski has 21 punchouts and five walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.34. Wojciechowski did not appear in the majors in 2018.

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 6.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.43 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.21 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 45 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.07 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.75.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .285/.335/.471 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ offense this year. Mancini is hitting .287/.349/.523 with 19 home runs, 44 RBIs and 61 runs scored, and Villar’s line sits at .255/.319/.402 with 10 homers, 41 RBIs, 57 runs and 17 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.78 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.54, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 10.68.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .274/.350/.466 on its way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Boston’s offense has been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts, who have already combined to drive in 150 runs. Devers is slashing .324/.378/.569 with 20 home runs, 75 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Bogaerts (.314/.399/.568) has produced 21 homers, 75 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

The Red Sox have lost 5.5 units and are 32-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 12.8 units and are 26-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 28 that went under the total.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Boston has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have an OPS of .816 this season and an OPS of .835 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .708 overall and .697 against righties.
  • The Red Sox have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Baltimore has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.