Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox are paying a visit to Baltimore to square off against their division foe Orioles at Oriole Park. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will showcase the game.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Boston (-115) is the favorite over Baltimore (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at +130 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -150 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Red Sox are 44-22 SU and have gone 36-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 19-45 SU and 24-39 ATS. They’ve lost 24.0 units for moneyline bettors and 18.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Orioles games have a 25-36-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 31-32-2.

Steven Wright is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Wright is 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).

The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of righty Dylan Bundy (4-7, 4.04 ERA), who’s got 88 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Bundy is 0-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA across two starts against Boston this year.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.70 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.06, along with a K/9 of 9.74.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .264/.331/.461 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Boston’s offense has been powered by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi, who have combined to blast 32 home runs. Martinez is slashing .316/.376/.654 with 21 home runs, 54 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Benintendi (.293/.375/.545) has produced 11 homers, 44 RBIs, 47 runs and 10 stolen bases.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 5.36, a WHIP of 1.54 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 29 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 6.05 and the bullpens ERA is 3.74.

Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .192/.278/.305 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles batters this year. Machado is slashing .312/.380/.591 with 18 home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Jones has put up a line of .281/.301/.453 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 26 runs scored,

The Red Sox have gained 14.7 units and are 30-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 18.4 units and are 15-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 24 that went under.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Boston has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.8 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 10 over their last 10.