Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will take on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising this interleague matchup.

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves Odds

The Red Sox are 96-44 SU and have gone 83-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 31.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 26.1 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 76-62 SU and 70-66 ATS. They’ve gained 16.9 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units ATS.

Braves games have had an over/under record of 63-67-6 in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 65-68-6.

Hector Velazquez will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Velazquez is 7-2 with a 3.24 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves will turn to righty Mike Foltynewicz (10-9, 2.80 ERA) to the mound. Foltynewicz has 174 strikeouts and 58 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.14 WHIP. Foltynewicz is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Boston this year.

Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.53, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Atlanta’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .211/.282/.360 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Braves’ batters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .305/.387/.500 with 20 home runs, 82 RBIs and 84 runs scored, and the line for Markakis stands at .303/.368/.461 with 14 homers, 83 RBIs and 72 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.41, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.68.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .268/.340/.455 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .335/.407/.641 with 39 home runs, 115 RBIs and 103 runs scored, while Betts is slashing .336/.426/.627 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 111 runs and 27 stolen bases.

The Red Sox have gained 32.0 units and are 67-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 20.4 units and are 54-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 49 that went under the total.

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in just two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Boston fielders have two errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
  • The Red Sox have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 10 over their last 10.