Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will play their division rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. New England Sports Network is in line to televise the matchup and the game gets going at 7:07 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Boston (-130) is favored against Toronto (+120) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -130 for the over and +110 for the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at +115 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -135 for the Blue Jays +1.5.

The Red Sox have gone 17-5 SU this year and are 12-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 12.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 3.8 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 14-8 SU and 12-9 ATS. They’ve gained 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS.

Toronto games have had an over/under record of 9-10-2 so far in 2018. Red Sox games have gone over 12 times, gone under eight times and pushed on one occasion.

Southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez is projected to start for the visiting Red Sox. Rodriguez is 2-0 with a 3.45 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face Toronto this year, but he did make two starts against the Blue Jays in 2017, compiling a 0-0 record against them with a 3.65 ERA and 18 strikeouts.

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the right hand of Aaron Sanchez (1-2, 3.86 ERA), who has 15 strikeouts and 13 walks as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Sanchez only made one start against the Red Sox in 2017 (0-1, 6.75 ERA and two strikeouts across four innings).

Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.01 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.28, a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 9.0. In 12 games against AL East opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.00.

Toronto’s hitters are putting up 5.5 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .170/.275/.273 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Left fielder Curtis Granderson and third baseman Yangervis Solarte have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Granderson is hitting .321/.424/.571 with three home runs, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Solarte’s line sits at .236/.356/.486 with five homers, 10 RBIs and 13 runs.

Granderson didn’t do very well against lefty pitching at home last year, slashing .149/.212/.234 across 52 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .212/.323/.450).

In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 2.9 runs per game and its starters own a 2.51 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 9.91 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.27, along with a WHIP of 1.08 and a K/9 of 9.47.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .275/.344/.457 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Mookie Betts and first baseman Hanley Ramirez have led Boston’s hitters. Betts is slashing .347/.444/.693 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Ramirez is hitting .333/.386/.507 with three homers, 16 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Red Sox have gained 11.6 units and are 11-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 1.6 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to three that’ve cashed the under.

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Boston’s last seven games.
  • Boston has recorded 26.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 11 over their last 10.