Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox are set to take on their AL East rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. New England Sports Network will televise the action and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Odds

Boston (+155) is the underdog against New York (-165) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The games current runline odds stand at -140 for betting the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +120 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Yankees are 25-10 SU and 20-14 ATS. They’ve gained 8.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Red Sox have gone 25-10 SU this year and are 16-18 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 10.8 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going, but have lost 2.3 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Yankees games have a 20-13-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 18-15-1.

Rick Porcello is getting the nod for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Porcello is 5-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against New York this year (four starts).

The Yankees will turn to righty Masahiro Tanaka (4-2, 4.39 ERA), who’s got 42 strikeouts and eight walks to his name as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Tanaka is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA over one starts against Boston this year.

New York’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.49 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 12.8 K/9. In 18 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.34 and the bullpens ERA is 3.84.

The New York offense is putting up 5.7 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .223/.333/.389 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Yankees offense has been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is hitting .301/.388/.642 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Judge’s line sits at .295/.418/.550 with eight homers, 24 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge performed well against right-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.

For the visitors, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.48 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.39, along with a K-per-9 of 10.11.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .268/.333/.456 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez have led Boston’s offense. Betts is hitting .360/.436/.825 with 13 home runs, 27 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Martinez is hitting .346/.392/.615 with eight homers, 27 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .303/.376/.690, Martinez didn’t do especially well against righties on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of just .255/.299/.588 across 177 such plate appearances.

The Red Sox have gained 12.4 units and are 14-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against righty starters.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have won 16 of their last 17 games SU.
  • New York has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 10 over their last 10.