Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox will head south to take on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. New England Sports Network will televise this interleague matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Boston (-105) as the underdog to Miami (-115). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -150 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +140 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Marlins are 2-2 SU and 1-2 ATS. They’ve lost 0.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Red Sox have gone 3-1 SU this year and are 0-3 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 0.3 units for moneyline gamblers this year, but have lost 3.1 units ATS.

Marlins games have an over/under record of two-1 in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of one-2.

The Red Sox have lost 0.7 units and are 0-2 ATS when facing a y starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.0 units and are 0-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in one of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under.

As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.43, a WHIP of 1.57 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 2.55 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.

The Miami hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over their last 10 games and 4.5 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .236/.342/.304 over its last five matchups and is 2-2 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Derek Dietrich and shortstop Miguel Rojas have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Dietrich is hitting .316/.409/.579 with six hits, three RBIs and three runs scored, while Rojas has produced a line of .333/.444/.467 with five hits and one RBI.

Dietrich performed well against lefties at home last season, slashing .341/.413/.463 in 46 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .249/.334/.424).

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 2.3 runs per game and its starters own a 0.75 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 8.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.73, along with a WHIP of 0.88.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .214/.304/.336 on its way to 2.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.5 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-1 SU).

Shortstop Bogaerts Bogaerts and right fielder Mookie Betts have led Boston’s hitters. Bogaerts is hitting .471/.471/.941 with eight hits, two RBIs and four runs scored, while Betts (.286/.444/.357) is up to four hits and zero RBI.

Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Marlins went 0-0 SU against the Red Sox last season.