Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will make a road trip to Toronto to square off against their divisional rival Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. New England Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Vegas has listed Toronto (+140) as the underdog to Boston (-150). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Red Sox -1.5 runs (-105) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-115).

The Red Sox are 79-34 SU and have gone 68-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 29.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 23.1 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 51-60 SU and 50-61 ATS. They’ve lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors and 18.9 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 56-47-8 in 2018. Boston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 51-58-4.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.59 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.33, along with a K-per-9 of 9.60.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .269/.339/.457 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .324/.392/.641 with 33 home runs, 93 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .342 with 26 homers, 58 RBIs, 89 runs and 21 steals.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.84, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 42 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.10.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .287/.332/.489 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ hitters have been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and first baseman Justin Smoak. Solarte is hitting .233/.285/.401 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Smoak’s line sits at .252/.360/.469 with 17 homers, 56 RBIs and 47 runs.

The Blue Jays have lost 11.0 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in five of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games SU.
  • Toronto has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.