Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to face their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be showing the game.

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds

Boston (-270) is favored over Toronto (+235) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +110 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -130 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Red Sox are 100-46 straight up (SU) and 86-59 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 33.4 units for moneyline bettors and 25.8 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Blue Jays are 65-80 SU and have gone 61-83 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 33.0 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 68-70-7 in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 74 times, gone under 61 times and pushed on nine occasions.

Sam Gaviglio will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Gaviglio is 3-8 with a 5.25 ERA and 96 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.95 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).

The Red Sox will turn to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (12-4, 3.64 ERA), who’s got 126 strikeouts and 36 walks to his name as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Rodriguez is 2-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.41 ERA across three starts against Toronto this year.

Boston’s pitchers have yielded 3.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.46 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 66 games against divisional foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.77.

The Boston hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .264/.341/.387 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .329/.400/.629 with 40 home runs, 121 RBIs and 105 runs scored, and the line for Betts stands at .340/.433/.627 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 117 runs and 28 steals.

For the visitors, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.21 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.39, along with a WHIP of 1.44 and a K-per-9 of 8.97.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .244/.316/.427 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is hitting .246/.354/.467 with 24 home runs, 74 RBIs and 64 runs scored. Pillar (.247/.274/.411) has produced 12 homers, 53 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 stolen bases.

The Blue Jays have lost 18.4 units and are 18-29 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 31.4 units and are 68-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 53 which went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • Boston has posted 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.