Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

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The Toronto Blue Jays will play host to their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre. New England Sports Network will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:07 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Boston (-145) is favored over Toronto (+135) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at +100 for picking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -120 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs.

The Red Sox are 76-69 SU and are 59-85 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 23.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 35.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 56-89 SU and 70-74 ATS. The team has lost 22.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.8 units ATS. Toronto hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Toronto games have a 65-71-8 over/under record in 2019. The Red Sox have been a solid over bet with a total record of 80-61-3.

The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin is the projected starter for the visiting Red Sox. Chacin is 3-10 with a 5.60 ERA and 84 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the hands of righty Trent Thornton (4-9, 5.23 ERA), who has 127 punchouts and 55 walks, along with a 1.50 WHIP. Thornton is 0-2 with eight strikeouts and a 12.19 ERA over three starts against Boston this year.

Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.11 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 59 games against AL East opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 5.18 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.66.

The Toronto offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .194/.275/.369 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Galvis is slashing .267/.299/.444 with 18 home runs, 54 RBIs and 55 runs scored, and Grichuk is batting .230 with 25 homers, 64 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.26, along with a K/9 of 10.50.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .272/.345/.475 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Boston’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts, who have combined to blast 60 home runs. Devers is slashing .314/.365/.565 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 117 runs scored, while Bogaerts (.304/.380/.562) has produced 31 homers, 105 RBIs and 102 runs scored.

The Red Sox have lost 5.8 units and are 43-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 54 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under against righty starters.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in only one of Boston’s last seven contests.
  • The Red Sox have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • The Red Sox have an OPS of .820 this season and an OPS of .823 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS stands at .725 overall and .719 against righties.
  • Boston has recorded 17.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.0 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have dropped five of their last six games SU.