Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the Boston Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will televise this interleague matchup.

Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Boston (-140) is entering this game as the favorite against Philadelphia (+130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds sit at +105 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -125 for the Phillies +1.5.

The Red Sox have gone 85-35 SU this year and are 74-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 33.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 28.5 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 65-52 SU and 57-60 ATS. The team has gained 12.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 11.1 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 49-63-5 in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 60 times, gone over 55 times and pushed on five occasions.

Rick Porcello will get the start for Boston. The right-handed Porcello is 14-5 with a 4.17 ERA and 140 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 7.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).

The Phillies are sending righty Nick Pivetta (7-9, 4.51 ERA) to the mound. Pivetta has 147 strikeouts and 33 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Pivetta only made one start against the Red Sox in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.70, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .193/.278/.292 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Odubel Herrera has helped lead the Phillies’ offense this year with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.59 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.59 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.34, along with a K/9 of 9.69.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .270/.342/.465 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 7.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

J.D. Martinez has provided a spark to the Boston offense. Martinez is slashing .333/.401/.669 with 37 home runs, 104 RBIs and 87 runs scored.

The Red Sox just got a 4-1 victory over the Orioles, while the Phillies are coming off of a 9-3 loss against the Padres.

Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in six of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Red Sox have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
  • Boston has recorded 26.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 11 games SU.