Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox are making a road trip to Bronx to take on their AL East nemesis Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Pix11 will televise the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Odds

Boston (+125) is entering this one as the underdog to New York (-135) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -170 for the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +150 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Red Sox have gone 103-47 SU this year and are 87-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 36.3 units for moneyline bettors and 22.4 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 91-58 SU and 73-76 ATS. They’ve lost 11.8 units for moneyline bettors and 13.3 units ATS.

New York games have had an over/under record of 67-75-7 in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 74 times, gone over 68 times and pushed on eight instances.

Nathan Eovaldi is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Eovaldi is 5-7 with a 4.22 ERA and 82 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 2.93 ERA against New York this year (two starts).

The Yankees are turning to lefty J.A. Happ (16-6, 3.75 ERA), who’s got 173 strikeouts and 44 walks as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Happ is 0-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 0.84 ERA across two starts against Boston this year.

New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.08, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.27 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 11.3 K/9. In 63 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

The New York offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .222/.339/.418 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ batters have been led by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton. Andujar is slashing .298/.332/.519 with 24 home runs, 83 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Stanton’s line is .265/.341/.501 with 34 homers, 89 RBIs and 93 runs.

For the visitors, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.52, along with a K/9 of 9.59.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .267/.339/.450 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .328/.398/.628 with 41 home runs, 122 RBIs and 106 runs scored. Betts is hitting .337/.431/.619 with 29 homers, 72 RBIs, 118 runs and 28 stolen bases.

The Red Sox have gained 2.0 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 14.2 units and are 55-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 50 of those games, compared to 54 which went under the total.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in only one of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games SU while the Yankees have dropped four of their last five.
  • New York has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 14 over their last 10.