Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Hockey, NHL

The Boston Bruins at Amalie Arena in Game 2 of the NHL’s Eastern Conference Semifinals. The match will get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, April 30, and you’ll be able to watch it live on NBC Sports Network.

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

Tampa Bay (-155) is currently favored over Boston (+135) and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at an even 6 goals (-110 for the over, -110 for the under).

Tampa Bay is 58-30 straight up (SU) and has netted moneyline bettors 8.9 units this season. That winning percentage, ranked first in the NHL so far this season, is a solid improvement compared to how the team performed during the 2016-17 season (42-40). Of the teams 88 games this season, 53 have gone over the total, while 33 have gone under and just two have pushed. The teams 32-13 SU at home this year.

Following a regular season where they found the net on 24.2 percent of all power-play opportunities (the third-strongest), the Lightning have been able to score on 27.3 percent of their extra-man advantages in the postseason. Their penalty kill has gone from 76.3 percent in the regular season to 80.0 percent in the playoffs.

The Lightning offense attempted 32.8 shots per game in the regular season, resulting in 3.6 goals per outing (ranked first overall in the NHL). In the postseason, the clubs attempting an average of 34.0 shots on goal 3.3 goals per game.

With a .920 save percentage and 29.4 saves per game, Andrei Vasilevskiy (48-23-3) has been the primary goalkeeper for Tampa Bay this year. If the Bolts decide to give him the evening off, however, the team might turn to Louis Domingue (7-12-12 record, .894 save percentage, 3.41 goals against average).

The Bolts will continue to look for offensive production out of Nikita Kucherov and Steven Stamkos. Kucherov (110 points) has tallied 44 goals and 66 assists and has recorded two or more points on 34 separate occasions this year. Stamkos has 28 goals and 64 assists to his credit and has notched at least one point in 57 contests.

On the other bench, Boston is 55-35 straight up (SU) and has earned moneyline bettors 5.3 units this year. A total of 44 of its matches have gone under the total, while 41 have gone over and just five have pushed. As a road team, the Bruins are 24-21 SU.

The Bruins have converted on 24.6 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that places it in the top-five among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked third overall and it’s successfully killed off 83.0 percent of all opponent power plays.

Boston’s skaters have been called for penalties 3.7 times per game this season, and 2.6 per game over their last five road outings. The team has been forced to defend opponent power plays just 6.0 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Tuukka Rask (25.7 saves per game) has been the primary choice in the net for Boston. Rask has 39 wins, 23 losses, and five OT losses to his credit, while registering a .916 save percentage and 2.42 goals against average this year.

For the visiting Bruins, the offense will be coordinated by Brad Marchand (38 goals, 60 assists) and David Pastrnak (40 goals, 57 assists).

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Predictions

Prediction: SU Winner – Lightning, O/U – Under

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Tampa Bay’s last five outings.
  • Boston’s attempted 33.0 shots per game overall this season (the second-most in the NHL), and 34.7 in its last 10 games.
  • Over Boston’s last ten games, nine of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 6-3 in those games).
  • Boston skaters have accounted for the eighth-most hits in the league (24.0 per game).