Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles will make a road trip to Toronto to take on their divisional rival Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to showcase the matchup.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Toronto (-160) as the favorite over Baltimore (+150). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Orioles +1.5 runs (-145) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+125).

The Orioles are 37-87 SU and have gone 53-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 40.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 26.5 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 55-69 SU and 51-72 ATS. The team has lost 10.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 31.1 units ATS.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 63-52-8 in 2018. The Orioles have been a good under bet with a total record of 53-65-5.

The right-handed Andrew Cashner is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Cashner (4-10, 4.71 ERA) has racked up 91 punchouts in 128 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA against Toronto this year (three starts).

The Blue Jays will be sending righty Marco Estrada (6-9, 4.87 ERA) to the mound. Estrada has 83 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Estrada is 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA across two starts against Baltimore this year.

Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.07, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 51 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.89 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.80.

Toronto’s offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .275/.349/.389 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Smoak is hitting .257/.363/.465 with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs and 53 runs scored, and Pillar’s line is .255/.285/.420 with 10 homers, 48 RBIs, 50 runs and 13 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.36 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.67, along with a K/9 of 8.17.

The Orioles offense has slashed .238/.301/.398 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado continue to lead Baltimore’s hitters. Jones is slashing .285/.317/.438 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 33.8 units and are 34-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 3.1 units and are 33-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 33 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in just one of Baltimore’s last seven contests.
  • Toronto has recorded 17.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit seven over their last 10.