Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles will be squaring off against their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The game gets underway 7:07 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Vegas is listing Baltimore (+145) as the underdog to Toronto (-155). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds listed at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (-150) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+130).

The Blue Jays are 56-69 straight up (SU) and 51-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.9 units for moneyline bettors and 32.1 units (ATS). The Orioles have gone 37-88 SU this year and are 53-71 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 41.7 units for moneyline bettors and 27.5 units ATS.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 64-52-8 in 2018. Baltimore has been a good under bet with a total record of 53-66-5.

Dylan Bundy will get the start for Baltimore. The right-handed Bundy (7-11, 4.99 ERA) has racked up 137 strikeouts in 131.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 5.25 ERA against Toronto this year (two starts).

The Blue Jays will send righty Sam Gaviglio (2-6, 5.13 ERA) to the mound. Gaviglio has 83 punchouts and 28 walks to his name, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Gaviglio is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 4.70 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.38 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.12 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.65, along with a WHIP of 1.48.

Orioles hitters have slashed .238/.301/.398 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been led by right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado, who’ve collectively launched 37 home runs. Jones is slashing .284/.316/.435 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Machado (.315/.387/.575) has produced 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 5.07 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 52 games against AL East foes, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.89 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.73.

The Toronto hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .267/.341/.416 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

First baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar have led the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Smoak is hitting .255/.365/.463 with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Pillar’s line is .257/.287/.426 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 51 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Orioles have lost 34.8 units and are 34-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 3.1 units and are 33-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in only one of Baltimore’s last seven contests.
  • The Orioles have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • Toronto has posted 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit nine over their last 10.