Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles are traveling south to Tropicana Field to take on their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Orioles have gone 34-78 SU this year and are 47-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 37.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.4 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 56-56 SU and 61-51 ATS. They’ve gained 4.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.4 units ATS. Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Rays games have had an over/under record of 49-60-3 in 2018. Orioles games have gone under 59 times, gone over 49 times and pushed on four instances.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 3.99 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 44 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.16.

The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .224/.356/.346 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Rays’ batters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron. Duffy is slashing .301/.353/.383 with four home runs, 31 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Cron’s line is .250/.320/.476 with 22 homers, 56 RBIs and 52 runs.

For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.43 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.32, along with a WHIP of 1.50.

The Orioles offense has slashed .237/.300/.396 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Baltimore’s offense has been powered by outfielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado, who collectively have launched 35 home runs. Jones is hitting .282/.311/.424 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Machado (.315/.387/.575) is up to 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Rays have lost 5.2 units and are 39-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in just one of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • Baltimore has posted 30.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.6 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit eight over their last 10.