Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles are traveling south to Tropicana Field to take on their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to showcase the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Baltimore (+235) is the underdog to Tampa Bay (-270) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at seven runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +110 for picking the Orioles +1.5 runs and -130 for the Rays -1.5.

The Orioles are 41-99 SU and have gone 58-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 48.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 36.0 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 75-64 SU and 77-62 ATS. The team’s gained 18.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.4 units ATS.

Rays games have a 59-75-5 over/under record in 2018. Baltimore has also been a good under bet with a total record of 61-74-5.

Right-hander Dylan Bundy is getting the nod for the visiting Orioles. Bundy (7-13, 5.36 ERA) has racked up 155 strikeouts in 146 innings so far. He’s 2-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 4.82 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (three starts).

The Rays are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Blake Snell (17-5, 2.02 ERA), who’s got 177 strikeouts and 54 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.01. Snell is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.38 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.79, along with a K-per-9 of 8.15.

Orioles hitters have slashed .239/.300/.395 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini, who collectively have launched 35 home runs. Jones is slashing .285/.317/.429 with 14 home runs, 55 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Mancini (.242/.301/.415) has produced 21 homers, 51 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

For the home team, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.74, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.65 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 62 games against divisional opponents, Rays starters have an ERA of 4.85 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.46.

The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .285/.347/.503 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joey Wendle have paced the Rays’ hitters this year. Duffy is hitting .296/.354/.371 with four home runs, 40 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Wendle’s line is .297/.346/.425 with seven homers, 49 RBIs, 49 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Orioles have lost 6.0 units and are 22-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 8.7 units and are 53-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • The over has cashed in three of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
  • Baltimore has posted 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 10 over their last 10.