Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles are making a road trip to Bronx to play their divisional rival Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Odds

New York (-265) is favored over Baltimore (+235) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the games total stand at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds coming in at Orioles +1.5 runs (+105) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-125).

The Orioles are 31-74 SU and have gone 45-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 37.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 23.8 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 66-37 SU and 53-51 ATS. The teams gained 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.1 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 45-54-5 in 2018. Baltimore has also been a good under bet with a total record of 44-58-4.

Alex Cobb will get the start for Baltimore. The right-handed Cobb is 2-14 with a 6.08 ERA and 69 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 3.46 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

The Yankees are sending righty Sonny Gray (8-7, 5.08 ERA) to the mound. Gray has 96 strikeouts and 44 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.47. Gray is 3-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.00 ERA over three starts against Baltimore this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.86, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 11.5. In 44 games against divisional foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.08 and the bullpens ERA is 2.92.

The New York hitters have produced 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .295/.364/.404 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have paced the Yankees batters this year. Stanton is hitting .279/.345/.511 with 24 home runs, 63 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Judge’s line is .285/.398/.548 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.23 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.48 and a K/9 of 8.09.

Orioles hitters have slashed .233/.297/.389 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .281/.307/.431 with 11 homers, 43 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 32.1 units and are 27-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 11.3 units and are 38-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 38 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • Baltimore has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 10 XBH over its last five.
  • New York has posted 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.