Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Free Pick

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The Baltimore Orioles are set to take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in Game 1 of an AL East doubleheader. The game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET and YES Network will be airing the action.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Odds

The Yankees are 77-41 straight up (SU) and 71-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.8 units for moneyline bettors and 28.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 39-78 SU and have gone 50-66 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 22.4 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Yankees games have a 65-48-4 over/under record in 2019. Baltimore has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 59-48-9.

Right-hander Gabriel Ynoa is getting the nod for the visiting Orioles. Ynoa (1-6, 5.57 ERA) has recorded 47 punchouts in 76 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are planning to start lefty James Paxton (7-6, 4.40 ERA), who has 130 punchouts and 39 walks, along with a 1.43 WHIP. Paxton is 2-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 3.06 ERA across three starts against Baltimore this year.

New York’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.72, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 60 games against divisional foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.74.

The New York offense is putting up 5.9 runs per contest, including 6.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .266/.326/.537 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the Yankees’ batters this year. LeMahieu is hitting .334/.382/.528 with 18 home runs, 80 RBIs and 81 runs scored, and Torres is hitting .278 with 23 homers, 62 RBIs and 70 runs.

For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.60 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.27 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.30, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K-per-9 of 8.56.

The Orioles offense has slashed .246/.308/.410 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s offense has been powered by second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini, who collectively have swatted 42 home runs. Villar is hitting .271/.336/.443 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 78 runs and 26 stolen bases, while Mancini (.280/.344/.534) has produced 27 homers, 67 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 0.8 units and are 18-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 13.6 units and are 49-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, as opposed to 33 which went under the total.

Orioles at Yankees Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Baltimore has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 24 XBH over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 29 over their last 10.
  • The Orioles have a total OPS of .719 this season and an OPS of .723 against left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS stands at .831 overall and .826 against lefties.
  • Baltimore has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.