Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros Betting Preview

Victor TrejosArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Houston Astros will pay a visit to Baltimore to square off against the Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to showcase this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Astros have gone 100-58 SU this year and are 82-76 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 3.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 1.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 46-112 SU and 65-93 ATS. The team’s lost 52.6 units for moneyline bettors and 40.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have a 72-81-5 over/under record in 2018. Astros games have gone under 80 times, gone over 70 times and pushed on eight instances.

The right-handed Justin Verlander will get the nod for the visiting Astros. Verlander (16-9, 2.60 ERA) has recorded 280 strikeouts in 208 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles will turn to Yefry Ramirez (1-7, 6.07 ERA), who’s got 58 strikeouts and 33 walks as well as a 1.55 WHIP. Ramirez hasn’t faced the Astros yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.20 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.38 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.00, along with a K/9 of 10.65.

Astros hitters have slashed .256/.333/.427 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve have led Houston’s hitters. Bregman is slashing .289/.395/.538 with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs and 104 runs scored, while Altuve is hitting .314 with 13 homers, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 17 steals.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitchers have yielded 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.56, a WHIP of 1.51 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .269/.338/.445 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ batters have been led by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is slashing .281/.313/.419 with 15 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Mancini’s line is .244/.302/.422 with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 68 runs.

The Orioles have lost 49.5 units and are 40-65 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, as opposed to 54 that’ve gone under against righty starters.

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • Baltimore has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.