Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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The Detroit Tigers are playing host to the Baltimore Orioles at Comerica Park. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Detroit will be airing this AL showdown.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (-130) as the favorite over Detroit (+120). The total stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 or the under for -115. The game’s runline odds stand at +115 for taking the Orioles -1.5 runs and -135 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Orioles have gone 49-100 SU this year and are 62-86 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.6 units for moneyline bettors and 30.0 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 44-104 SU and 61-86 ATS. They’ve lost 36.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 30.3 units ATS.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 68-69-10 in 2019. The Orioles have been a good over bet with a total record of 75-62-11.

John Means is getting the start for Baltimore. The left-handed Means (10-10, 3.47 ERA) has racked up 109 strikeouts in 137.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers are putting the ball in the hands of Tyler Alexander (0-3, 5.40 ERA, 1.36 WHIP), who has 36 punchouts and five walks this season. Alexander has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record any MLB appearances in 2018.

Detroit’s pitchers have given up 5.7 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.51, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

Detroit’s offense has put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .280/.352/.434 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Tigers’ hitters have been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is slashing .287/.352/.397 with 10 home runs, 55 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Castellanos is hitting .273 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.66 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.05 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.87, along with a K-per-9 of 8.66.

Orioles hitters have slashed .246/.310/.411 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Villar is hitting .276/.343/.452 with 21 home runs, 67 RBIs, 100 runs and 35 stolen bases, while Mancini is hitting .278/.350/.517 with 32 homers, 83 RBIs and 97 runs scored.

Orioles vs. Tigers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Baltimore has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Detroit has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Baltimore has posted 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.