Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. This AL showdown can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (+190) as the underdog to Cleveland (-210). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 9.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (-115) and Indians -1.5 runs (-105).

The Orioles are 36-86 SU and have gone 51-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 41.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 28.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 70-51 SU and 59-61 ATS. The team has lost 10.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.5 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Cleveland games have a 61-55-4 over/under record in 2018. Baltimore has been a decent under bet with a total record of 53-63-5.

Right-hander Alex Cobb is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Cobb (3-15, 5.31 ERA) has recorded 85 strikeouts in 123.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.86 ERA and seven strikeouts over seven innings).

The Indians will turn to righty Adam Plutko (4-2, 4.75 ERA), who has 29 punchouts and 11 walks to his name as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Plutko did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.33 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.48 and a K/9 of 8.14.

Orioles hitters have slashed .238/.302/.399 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado continue to lead Baltimore’s hitters. Jones is hitting .285/.317/.438 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 45 runs scored. Machado (.315/.387/.575) is up to 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.30, a WHIP of 1.14 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.86 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .301/.385/.426 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have paced the Indians’ hitters this year. Lindor is slashing .291/.371/.551 with 29 home runs, 75 RBIs, 102 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Ramirez’s line is .303/.414/.640 with 37 homers, 91 RBIs, 85 runs and 27 steals.

The Orioles have lost 34.6 units and are 32-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 9.9 units and are 43-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 40 which went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Baltimore has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cleveland has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Indians have won eight of their last nine.
  • Cleveland has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 10 over their last 10.