Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick

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The Boston Red Sox are playing host to their division rival Baltimore Orioles at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will showcase the matchup and the game will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

The Orioles have gone 45-111 SU this year and are 64-91 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 53.4 units for moneyline bettors and 40.1 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 106-51 SU and 91-65 ATS. They’ve gained 35.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 72-76-8 in 2018. Orioles games have gone under 80 times, gone over 70 times and pushed on five occasions.

Jimmy Yacabonis will get the start for the Orioles. The right-handed Yacabonis is 0-2 with a 6.34 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 5.79 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox will turn to lefty David Price (15-7, 3.53 ERA) to the mound. Price has 171 strikeouts and 47 walks to his name, as well as a 1.12 WHIP. Price is 2-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 1.20 ERA over two starts against Baltimore this year.

Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.76, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.54 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 71 games against divisional opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.73 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.91.

The Boston hitters have put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .280/.374/.495 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox batters this year. Martinez is hitting .328/.402/.622 with 41 home runs, 124 RBIs and 106 runs scored, and Betts is batting .343 with 32 homers, 80 RBIs, 125 runs and 29 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.52 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.20 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.70, along with a K-per-9 of 8.16.

The Orioles offense has slashed .240/.300/.392 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Baltimore’s offense has been fueled by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is hitting .280/.310/.418 with 15 home runs, 61 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Mancini (.242/.300/.414) has produced 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 65 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 4.9 units and are 24-27 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 33.9 units and are 72-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 56 of those games, compared to 58 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Baltimore has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.