Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles will be facing off against their division rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Baltimore (+190) as the underdog to Boston (-210). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds sitting at -105 for over 7 runs and -115 for under 7. Runline odds sit at -115 for taking the Orioles +1.5 runs and -105 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Orioles have gone 5-10 SU this year and are 6-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season and 2.0 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox are 12-2 SU and 6-7 ATS. The teams gained 8.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.9 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Boston games have had an over/under record of 7-5-1 so far in 2018. Baltimore has an over/under record of 5-8-1.

The Orioles have gained 0.1 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to one that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 7.3 units and are 6-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in seven of those games, as opposed to four that’ve cashed the under.

Dylan Bundy (0-1, 1.35 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Bundy started 28 games last year and finished the season 13-9 overall with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. He made five starts against the Red Sox in 2017 and compiled a 2-2 record against them with a 3.94 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

The BoSox are rolling with lefty Chris Sale (1-0, 1.06 ERA) as their starter. Sale struck out 308 hitters in 214 innings last year (32 starts). Sale finished the season 17-8 overall with a 2.90 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. He recorded three starts against the Orioles a year ago and registered a 3-0 record with a 2.05 ERA and 33 strikeouts.

Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 2.08, a WHIP of 1.05 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 12 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 2.15 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.02.

The Boston hitters are putting up 6.1 runs per outing, including 6.3 per game against divisional foes and 8.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .313/.392/.523 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Right fielder Mookie Betts and first baseman Hanley Ramirez have led the Red Sox batters so far. Betts is hitting .353/.452/.608 with 18 hits, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Ramirez line is .362/.415/.617 with 17 hits, 15 RBIs and 10 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.62 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.99, along with a K-per-9 of 8.27.

The Orioles offense has slashed .222/.294/.351 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is hitting .311/.400/.525 with 19 hits, eight RBIs and six runs scored, while Alvarez (.304/.484/.652) is up to seven hits, two homers, seven RBIs and five runs scored.

Machado didn’t do as well hitting on the road last season. Across 336 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .229/.268/.398 (compared to his total season line of .260/.311/.473).

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Orioles have lost four of their last five games SU while the Red Sox have won 12 of their last 13 SU.
  • Baltimore has posted 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.0 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 11 over their last 10.