Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays are gunning for their fourth straight victory as they play host to the Baltimore Orioles at Rogers Centre. The matchup will get underway at 1:07 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the game.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Baltimore (+120) is entering this one as the underdog against Toronto (-130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Runline odds stand at -175 for taking the Orioles +1.5 runs and +155 for the Blue Jays -1.5 runs.

The Orioles have gone 19-44 SU this year and are 23-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 23.0 units for moneyline bettors and 19.9 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 29-35 SU and 30-33 ATS. They’ve lost 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 28-27-8 so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-35-2.

Alex Cobb will get the nod for the Orioles. The right-handed Cobb is 2-7 with a 6.19 ERA and 32 strikeouts. This is his first start against Toronto this year. He did make two starts against the Blue Jays in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record against them with a 1.46 ERA and eight strikeouts.

The Blue Jays are going with righty Marco Estrada (2-6, 5.29 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 17 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.42. Estrada is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA across one starts against Baltimore this year.

Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The teams starting pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 28 games against AL East opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpens ERA is 3.22.

Toronto’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .242/.299/.423 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte have led the Blue Jays offense this year. Pillar is slashing .264/.302/.439 with six home runs, 24 RBIs, 31 runs and nine stolen bases, while Solarte is batting .249 with 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 32 runs.

For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.18 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.31, along with a WHIP of 1.52 and a K/9 of 8.08.

Orioles hitters have slashed .228/.293/.379 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Machado is hitting .311/.380/.594 with 18 home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .285/.304/.458 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 17.4 units and are 14-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 1.2 units and are 18-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Orioles have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • Toronto has averaged 20.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.