Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles will play the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this AL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+110) as the underdog to Baltimore (-120). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. Runline odds stand at +125 for taking the Orioles -1.5 runs and -145 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Orioles are only 5-12 SU and are 6-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 4.7 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 5-9 SU and 5-8 ATS. The team’s lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units ATS.

Detroit games have a 5-8 over/under record so far in 2018. The Orioles have an over/under record of 6-9-1.

The right-handed Kevin Gausman will get the start for the visiting Orioles. Gausman is 1-1 with a 6.60 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.29 ERA and eight strikeouts over seven innings).

The Tigers will be sending lefty Matthew Boyd (0-1, 1.38 ERA) to the mound. Boyd has five strikeouts and one walks to his credit, as well as a 0.62 WHIP. Boyd made two starts against the Orioles in 2017, posting a 0-0 record with a 13.50 ERA.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.27 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.88, along with a K/9 of 8.27.

Orioles hitters have slashed .215/.289/.337 on their way to 3.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s offensive production been powered by Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez. Machado is slashing .309/.397/.515 with 21 hits, nine RBIs and six runs scored, while Alvarez is hitting .320 with eight hits, two homers, seven RBIs and five runs scored.

Machado did not seem to enjoy hitting on the road last season. Across 336 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .229/.268/.398 (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).

In the home-team dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.4. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

Detroit’s offense has produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .231/.286/.379 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Victor Martinez and Nicholas Castellanos have led the Tigers’ hitters so far. Martinez is slashing .310/.375/.476 with 13 hits, eight RBIs and three runs scored, while Castellanos has produced a line of .291/.371/.400 with 16 hits, five RBIs and 10 runs.

The Orioles have lost 0.9 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 3.4 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games SU.
  • Baltimore has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.0 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit five over their last 10.