Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles will be facing off against the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be televised on both NSC+ and MAS2.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Baltimore (-125) as the favorite over Chicago (+115). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. The games current runline odds sit at +120 for betting the Orioles -1.5 runs and -140 for the White Sox +1.5.

The Orioles are only 15-33 SU and have gone 18-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.2 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 12.4 units ATS. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 14-31 SU and 23-21 ATS. They’ve lost 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.5 units ATS.

White Sox games have an over/under record of 20-22-2 thus far in 2018. The Orioles have an over/under record of 21-24-2.

Alex Cobb will get the start for Baltimore. The right-handed Cobb is 1-5 with a 6.56 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The White Sox are turning to righty Dylan Covey (0-1, 6.00 ERA), who’s got three strikeouts and three walks to his name as well as a 1.67 WHIP. Covey only made one start against the Orioles in 2017 (0-1, 13.50 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.44 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.35, along with a K/9 of 8.28.

The Orioles offense has slashed .233/.297/.398 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been powered by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones, who have combined to swat 23 home runs. Machado is slashing .335/.412/.649 with 15 home runs, 43 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Jones (.268/.287/.454) is up to eight homers, 24 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

Machado seemed to take a step back when hitting righty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .227/.264/.387 across 254 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .260/.311/.473).

In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.64, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.1. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

Chicago’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .281/.342/.421 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The White Sox offense has been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is hitting .306/.373/.532 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Sanchez’s line is .288/.322/.423 with 47 hits, 21 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 12.4 units and are 11-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 10.8 units and are 18-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 13 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in only one of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • The White Sox have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Chicago has posted 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit six over their last 10.