Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles will be squaring off against their AL East foe New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game gets going at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Odds

Vegas is listing New York (-300) as the favorite over Baltimore (+250). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +120 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and -140 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Orioles have gone 44-110 SU this year and are 62-91 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 54.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 42.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 95-59 SU and 75-78 ATS. They’ve lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors and 13.1 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 70-76-7 in 2018. Baltimore has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-79-5.

Alex Cobb will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Cobb is 5-15 with a 4.90 ERA and 102 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against New York this year (two starts).

The Yankees are going with lefty J.A. Happ (16-6, 3.62 ERA), who has 179 strikeouts and 47 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Happ is 3-0 with 30 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA across four starts against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.18 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.73, along with a K/9 of 8.19.

The Orioles offense has slashed .239/.300/.391 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been led by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is slashing .281/.312/.420 with 15 home runs, 60 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Mancini (.240/.299/.413) has produced 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.04, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 3.34 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 11.3 K/9. In 68 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.39.

New York’s offense has produced 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .230/.339/.485 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton have led the Yankees’ hitters this year. Andujar is hitting .297/.330/.521 with 25 home runs, 84 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Stanton’s line sits at .259/.336/.493 with 35 homers, 93 RBIs and 94 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 7.3 units and are 23-27 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 12.2 units and are 56-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 51 of those games, compared to 55 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Baltimore’s last seven contests.
  • The Orioles have lost four of their last five games SU while the Yankees have taken four of their last five.
  • New York has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.