Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers Matchup

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The Detroit Tigers are playing host to the Baltimore Orioles at Comerica Park. Fox Sports Detroit will televise this AL matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers Odds

Vegas is listing Baltimore (+100) as the underdog to Detroit (-110). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +110 for over 10 runs and -130 for under 10. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -210 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +175 for the Tigers -1.5.

The Tigers are 43-102 straight up (SU) and 60-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 33.9 units for moneyline bettors and 28.9 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Orioles are 47-99 SU and have gone 61-84 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 17.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 28.0 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Detroit games have had an over/under record of 66-67-10 in 2019. Orioles games have gone over 74 times, gone under 60 times and pushed on 11 instances.

Right-hander Aaron Brooks is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Brooks is 4-8 with a 6.21 ERA and 77 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 27.00 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers are going with righty Jordan Zimmermann (1-10, 6.27 ERA), who’s got 71 punchouts and 23 walks to his name, along with a 1.43 WHIP. Zimmermann has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 6.75 ERA and seven strikeouts across 5.1 innings).

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.49 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

The Detroit hitters have put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .257/.323/.383 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have paced the Tigers’ batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .291/.354/.403 with 10 home runs, 55 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Castellanos is batting .273 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.70 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.93, along with a K-per-9 of 8.54.

Orioles hitters have slashed .245/.309/.410 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Jonathan Villar and Hanser Alberto continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Villar is slashing .275/.341/.453 with 21 home runs, 65 RBIs, 97 runs and 33 stolen bases, while Alberto (.318/.339/.441) is up to 11 homers, 47 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 13.7 units and are 37-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 45 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 31.8 units and are 42-69 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 56 which went under the total.

Orioles vs. Tigers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in only two of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit nine over their last 10.
  • The Orioles have a team OPS of .719 this season and an OPS of .700 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .686 overall and .676 against righties.
  • Baltimore has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.4 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have lost four of their last five games SU.