Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Atlanta Hawks (21-53) will travel to Target Center to clash against the Minnesota Timberwolves (42-33). The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 28, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds

Both teams fell in their last game. The Timberwolves were beaten by the Memphis Grizzlies, 101-93, while the Hawks lost big to the Houston Rockets, 118-99.

Atlanta held Houston to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.6 (below their season average of 21.8) while Minnesota did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (19-24; 79.2 percent). Minnesota rallied around Karl-Anthony Towns, who had 15 points, 12 rebounds and six assists. Taurean Prince fueled Atlanta with 28 points and six rebounds.

Minnesota could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense squares off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 22nd in defensive efficiency.

Hawks games have gone under the projected point total 51.4 percent of the time. Atlanta heads into the game with records of 21-53 straight up (SU) and 35-37-2 against the spread (ATS).

Timberwolves games tend to finish over the O/U total (56.0 percent). Further, Minnesota is 42-33 SU and 33-39-3 ATS.

Andrew Wiggins has been playing at a high level as of late for Minnesota, averaging 20.4 points and 5.8 rebounds over the last five games.

In their first matchup this season, Dennis Schroder led the Hawks to a 105-100 win. He registered a double-double with 18 points and 11 assists. The two teams combined to score 205 points, which was under the projected point total of 212.5, and Atlanta covered as a 6.5-point underdog. The Hawks 22.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Timberwolves, who had a rate of 16.3.

Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Hawks average 23.6 assists per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.1).
  • Minnesota ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.5) while Atlanta ranks 26th (8.6).
  • The Hawks rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (30.7) while the Timberwolves rank last (22.3).
  • Minnesota ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while Atlanta ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
  • Minnesota ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while Atlanta ranks 26th (5.5).
  • The Timberwolves rank fourth in points in the paint per game (49.0) while the Hawks rank 27th (40.9).
  • The Timberwolves average 13.7 second chance points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Hawks rank 20th in second chance points allowed per game (12.9).
  • Atlanta ranks 21st in fast break points per game (10.3) while Minnesota ranks 25th (9.4).
  • Minnesota ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while Atlanta ranks 23rd (44.0).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Minnesota is 16-4 and Atlanta is 10-4.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Timberwolves are 40-22 and the Hawks are 18-29.
  • Atlanta is 17-18-2 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 18-18-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 22 of the Hawks 37 road games, while 21 of the Timberwolves 37 home games have gone over.

Betting Trends:

  • The Hawks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Minnesota has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 99.8 points per game (3.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (0.0 below their season average).
  • The Timberwolves have been outscored by an average of 2.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Minnesota has defeated opponents by an average of 2.1 points.