Atlanta Falcons vs. Indianapolis Colts – Week 3 Free Betting Pick

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The Atlanta Falcons and Indianapolis Colts will go toe-to-toe on the dome at Lucas Oil Stadium. This early afternoon game will begin at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS will televise the action.

Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts

In this Sunday game, Indianapolis has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Falcons are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Colts are -140. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points, and if one team can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it’ll likely result in a worthwhile in-game betting opportunity.

The game’s total has swung lower after opening at 48. The original line has not shifted.

The Falcons are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 0-2.

The Colts are up 0.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-1.

The Falcons have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Colts are also 1-1 SU.

The Falcons just got a 24-20 win over Philadelphia last week. The passing attack could’ve been better as Matt Ryan completed 27 passes for 320 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Devonta Freeman (just 22 yards on 11 rushes) led the ground attack while Calvin Ridley (eight receptions, 105 yards, one TD) and Julio Jones (five catches, 106 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Indianapolis is coming off of a 19-17 win over Tennessee in Week 2. Jacoby Brissett completed 17-of-28 passes for 146 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Marlon Mack (51 yards on 20 rush attempts) led the running game as T.Y. Hilton (four receptions, 43 yards, one TD) and Chester Rogers (three catches, 24 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Atlanta has run the ball on 27.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indianapolis has a rush percentage of 54.9 percent. The Falcons have run for 65 yards per game and have yet to record a touchdown on the ground this year. The Colts are logging 185 rushing yards per game and have just one rush TD.

The Falcons offense has tallied 312 yards/game in the air overall and has five passing TD so far. The Colts have put up 168 pass yards per game and also have five total pass score.

Defensively, Atlanta seems to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 110.5 rush yards and 176.5 pass yards per game. The Indianapolis D has given up 243.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 124.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Falcons are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.58 to opposing QBs, while the Colts have given up a 6.63 ANY/A.

Brissett has completed 17-of-28 passes for 146 yards, three TDs and one INT. Brissett’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 4.39 for the season and 5.82 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Ryan has put up 320 passing yards this season. He’s completed 27-of-43 attempts with three passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Ryan has a 5.34 ANY/A, including 4.86 over the last two games.

Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Colts, ATS Winner: Falcons, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • Each team has lost one fumble this year.
  • The Falcons offense has tallied one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Colts have put up zero such plays.
  • Both teams have allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards and one pass play of 30+ yards.
  • The Atlanta offense has created one rushing play of 20+ yards, while Indianapolis has created three such runs.
  • The Falcons defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Colts have given up two such runs.
  • The Indianapolis defensive unit has tallied twice as many sacks as Atlanta this season (eight to four).