Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are set to face the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Fox Sports Southeast will showcase this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Braves are 20-14 SU and have gone 20-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.3 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year and 7.3 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 15-18 SU and 18-14 ATS. They’ve lost 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.5 units ATS. Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Tampa Bay games have had an over/under record of 17-13-2 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 16-14-3.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.64 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.90 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.68, along with a WHIP of 1.33.

The Braves offense has slashed .270/.340/.441 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Atlanta’s offensive production been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis, who have combined to blast 11 home runs. Freeman is slashing .308/.417/.531 with five home runs, 25 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Markakis has a .333 average with six homers, 25 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

For the home team, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .230/.337/.311 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Rays hitters have been led by second baseman Daniel Robertson and catcher Wilson Ramos. Robertson is slashing .291/.440/.481 with 23 hits, eight RBIs and 14 runs scored, while the line for Ramos stands at .316/.369/.495 with four homers, 16 RBIs and 10 runs scored.

Ramos didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against righty pitching at home last season. Across 69 such plate appearances, he slashed .250/.261/.324 (a drop from his total season line of .260/.290/.447).

The Rays have lost 3.4 units and are 9-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 11 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.

Atlanta Braves at Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Tampa Bay has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 13 home runs over its last 10 outings.