Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

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The Atlanta Braves will be taking on the San Francisco Giants in a Thursday showdown. NBC Sports – Bay Area will be showing this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Atlanta (receiving -110) is entering this game as the favorite over San Francisco (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +135 for picking the Braves -1.5 runs and -155 for the Giants +1.5 runs.

The Giants are 21-27 straight up (SU) and 20-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.3 units ATS. San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Braves have gone 27-23 SU this year and are 24-25 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 0.2 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, but have gained 0.4 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Neither team has been a strong over/under play this season. Giants games have an over/under record of 22-23-2 so far in 2019. The Braves have an over/under record of 24-22-3.

Kevin Gausman will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Gausman is 2-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Giants are preparing to start lefty Madison Bumgarner (3-4, 4.21 ERA), who has 64 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Bumgarner did not re a start against the Braves in 2018.

San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.01, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.63 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters have put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .202/.270/.331 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Giants’ offense has been led by outfielder Steven Duggar and second baseman Joe Panik. Duggar is hitting .242/.285/.354 with three home runs, 21 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Panik’s line is .254/.349/.352 with 36 hits, 15 RBIs and 16 runs.

In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a K-per-9 of 9.42.

The Braves offense has slashed .260/.339/.442 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr., who have combined to launch 23 home runs. Freeman is hitting .325/.414/.586 with 12 home runs, 31 RBIs and 35 runs scored. Acuna Jr. is hitting .290/.384/.514 with 11 homers, 31 RBIs, 34 runs and five stolen bases.

The Braves have gained 1.1 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in eight of those games, as opposed to three that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 0.3 units and are 12-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 15 which went under the total.

Braves vs. Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Atlanta has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Francisco has nine XBH over its last five.
  • The Braves have an OPS of .781 this season and an OPS of .817 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Giants’ OPS sits at .654 overall and .617 against lefties.
  • Atlanta has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.