Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will be facing off against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be showing this NL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres Odds

Oddsmakers have listed San Diego (+115) as the underdog to Atlanta (-125). Bettors can gamble on the games total with odds posted at -105 for over 7.5 runs and -115 for under 7.5. Runline odds sit at +120 for taking the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Padres +1.5.

The Braves are 35-25 SU and are 33-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.5 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-5 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 28-34 SU and 31-30 ATS. The teams lost 0.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

San Diego games have a 30-29-2 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 25-30-3.

Sean Newcomb is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The southpaw Newcomb is 6-1 with a 2.73 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and eight strikeouts over six innings).

The Padres are turning to righty Jordan Lyles (2-1, 3.65 ERA), who has 47 strikeouts and 16 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Lyles did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.45 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.86, along with a K/9 of 9.18.

Braves hitters have slashed .260/.333/.422 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have paced Atlanta’s offense. Markakis is hitting .331/.394/.494 with seven home runs, 39 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Freeman is hitting .328 with nine homers, 40 RBIs, 35 runs and five stolen bases.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have a 4.87 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The San Diego offense has produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over its last five. The teams hit .304/.378/.500 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela have led the way for the Padres offense this year. Hosmer is hitting .293/.379/.477 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and Pirela’s line sits at .271/.327/.356 with 64 hits, 19 RBIs and 35 runs.

The Braves have gained 10.9 units and are 25-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 0.5 units and are 8-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to seven that went under.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Padres have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • Atlanta has recorded 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 14 over their last 10.