Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Betting Preview

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The Atlanta Braves will square off against the San Diego Padres in a Sunday showdown. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+115) is stepping into this one as an underdog against Atlanta (-125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +120 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Padres +1.5.

The Braves are 56-37 SU and are 44-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 1.9 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 45-47 SU and 41-50 ATS. They’ve lost 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.1 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 44-40-7 so far in 2019. The Braves have been a decent over bet with a total record of 48-38-6.

Mike Soroka is getting the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Soroka is 9-1 with a 2.42 ERA and 73 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres will put the ball in the hands of Cal Quantrill (2-2, 4.83 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), who has 36 strikeouts and 13 walks this season. Quantrill is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.84 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The San Diego offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .199/.287/.398 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the way for the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is hitting .281/.330/.437 with 13 home runs, 63 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .273/.343/.516 with 23 homers, 61 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.49 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.94 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.76, along with a WHIP of 1.38.

The Braves offense has slashed .263/.339/.464 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

First baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have led Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .302/.388/.571 with 23 home runs, 68 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Acuna Jr. (.289/.372/.514) is up to 23 homers, 55 RBIs, 70 runs and 13 steals.

The Padres have lost 1.8 units and are 33-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Braves vs. Padres MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in five of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Braves have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • San Diego has posted 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 15 over their last 10.