Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will head north to Citizens Bank Park to face their divisional foe Philadelphia Phillies. Fox Sports Southeast is in line to showcase the matchup. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (+115) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-125). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can take the over for +100 or the under for -120. The games runline odds sit at -180 for taking the Braves +1.5 runs and +160 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Braves have gone 28-17 SU this year and are 28-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the seasons early going and 12.8 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 26-18 SU and 21-22 ATS. The team has gained 7.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.8 units ATS.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 20-20-3 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 21-20-3.

Mike Foltynewicz is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz is 3-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.12 ERA against Philadelphia this year (three starts).

The Phillies are going with righty Nick Pivetta (3-2, 3.72 ERA), who has 53 strikeouts and 11 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Pivetta is 0-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA over three starts against Atlanta this year.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.47, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 22 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.96 and the bullpens ERA is 4.42.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The teams hit .211/.274/.380 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Phillies offense has been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .344/.411/.544 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Hernandez line sits at .277/.389/.440 with six homers, 15 RBIs, 34 runs and nine steals.

In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.89 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.49, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.02.

Braves hitters have slashed .266/.341/.437 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 5.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .325/.431/.568 with nine home runs, 35 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .343/.412/.519 with seven homers, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .275/.354/.384, Markakis appeared to enjoy hitting righty pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .327/.428/.442 across 257 such plate appearances.

The Braves have gained 7.6 units and are 21-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 4.5 units and are 15-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Atlanta fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to six errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 15 home runs over its last 10 outings.