Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will be taking on their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 3:05 p.m. ET and FOX Sports South will be televising the action.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

The Braves are 90-71 SU and have gone 82-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 22.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 79-82 SU and 71-89 ATS. The team has lost 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 30.9 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 74-80-6 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 77-76-6.

Kevin Gausman will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Gausman is 10-10 with a 3.93 ERA and 142 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.35 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).

The Phillies will be sending Ranger Suarez (1-1, 6.00 ERA) to the hill. Suarez has six strikeouts and four walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 2.00. Suarez has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.50 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.18, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

Braves hitters have slashed .257/.327/.419 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Atlanta’s offensive production has been sparked by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis, who have combined to swat 37 home runs. Freeman is slashing .310/.387/.506 with 23 home runs, 98 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .298 with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.12, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.23 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 75 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.58.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .196/.302/.316 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and outfielder Odubel Herrera have led the charge for the Phillies’ batters this year. Hernandez is slashing .253/.357/.358 with 14 home runs, 59 RBIs, 90 runs and 19 steals, while Herrera’s line is .255/.311/.422 with 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 64 runs.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five games. Philadelphia has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • Atlanta has posted 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit six home runs over their last 10 outings.