Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to their division rival Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park. FOX Sports South will broadcast the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (+150) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-160). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 7.5 runs and -115 for under 7.5. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Braves +1.5 runs (-145) and Phillies +-1.5 runs (+125).

The Phillies are 15-9 SU and 9-14 ATS. The team’s gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 8.2 units against the spread (ATS). The Braves are 14-10 SU and have gone 14-9 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early portions of the year and 5.5 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have a 10-10-3 over/under record so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 10-10-3.

Julio Teheran will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Teheran is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Philadelphia this year (four starts).

The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Aaron Nola (2-1, 2.30 ERA), who’s got 24 strikeouts and nine walks, as well as a 0.93 WHIP. Nola is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 2.38 ERA over two starts against Atlanta this year.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.50 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.18, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 9.3. In 11 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.01.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .250/.324/.354 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Rhys Hoskins has helped lead the Phillies’ offense this year with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.45 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.34.

The Braves offense has slashed .269/.344/.436 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Atlanta’s offense has been led by Freddie Freeman. Freeman is hitting .326/.455/.584 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

The Braves just got a 7-4 victory over the Reds, while the Phillies are coming off of an 8-2 loss against the Diamondbacks.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in just two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.