Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets are playing host to their NL East foe Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds

New York (+115) is the home-team underdog to Atlanta (-125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Runline odds stand at +120 for betting the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Mets +1.5.

The Braves are 59-48 SU and are 56-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 16.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 45-63 SU and 47-59 ATS. They’ve lost 21.9 units for moneyline bettors and 18.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 45-56-5 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 51-50-4.

Right-hander Julio Teheran is the probable starter for the visiting Braves. Teheran is 8-7 with a 4.46 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 0.86 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Mets are sending lefty Steven Matz (5-9, 4.35 ERA) to the mound. Matz has 99 strikeouts and 41 walks to his name, as well as a 1.34 WHIP. Matz is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 44 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.01.

The New York offense has put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .200/.247/.350 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario is batting .235 with four homers, 28 RBIs, 40 runs and nine steals.

For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.70 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.66 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.08, along with a K-per-9 of 9.04.

The Braves offense has slashed .258/.326/.420 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Atlanta’s offense has been powered by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis, who’ve collectively belted 30 home runs. Freeman is slashing .317/.399/.529 with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .313/.382/.481 with 12 homers, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 14.5 units and are 34-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 33 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just one of New York’s last seven games.
  • Both teams have hit 10 home runs over their last 10 games.
  • Atlanta fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for New York over its last 10.