Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will be taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to showcase this NL showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite against Atlanta (+130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Braves +1.5 runs (-170) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+150).

The Braves have gone 78-64 SU this year and are 71-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 14.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 2.1 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 76-66 SU and 72-69 ATS. They’ve lost 1.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 8.1 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Arizona games have a 62-73-6 over/under record in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 66-68-6.

Right-hander Touki Toussaint is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Toussaint (1-1, 3.38 ERA) has recorded 10 strikeouts in 10.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the left hand of Robbie Ray (5-2, 4.25 ERA, 1.39 WHIP), who’s got 130 strikeouts and 52 walks. Ray did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.

Arizona’s pitching staff has yielded 3.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.20, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 8.2.

Arizona’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .247/.369/.349 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta have paced the Diamondbacks’ batters this year. Goldschmidt is hitting .298/.401/.557 with 33 home runs, 82 RBIs and 89 runs scored, and Peralta’s line is .296/.354/.518 with 26 homers, 75 RBIs and 69 runs.

For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.07, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

Braves hitters have slashed .259/.327/.424 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Atlanta’s offensive production has been powered by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .312/.377/.467 with 14 home runs, 88 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Freeman (.305/.386/.502) has produced 21 homers, 83 RBIs and 88 runs scored.

The Braves have lost 4.5 units and are 16-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.9 units and are 48-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 47 that went under the total.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Atlanta has recorded 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. Arizona has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • Arizona has posted 17.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.