Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will head west to PETCO Park to square off against the San Diego Padres. This NL matchup will get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+105) is the underdog against Atlanta (-115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Runline odds sit at +130 for taking the Braves -1.5 runs and -150 for the Padres +1.5.

The Padres are 27-34 SU and 30-30 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 35-24 SU and have gone 32-25 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 14.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 29-29-2 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 25-29-3.

The right-handed Julio Teheran is the probable starter for the visiting Braves. Teheran is 4-3 with a 4.03 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and five strikeouts over six innings).

The Padres will put the ball in the left hand of Clayton Richard (3-6, 4.74 ERA, 1.31 WHIP), who has 61 strikeouts and 25 walks this season. Richard only made one start against the Braves in 2017 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and two strikeouts across six innings).

Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.38 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.64, along with a K/9 of 9.27.

The Braves offense has slashed .260/.333/.423 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who collectively have belted 16 home runs. Markakis is hitting .328/.392/.489 with seven home runs, 39 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Freeman has a .335 average with nine homers, 40 RBIs, 35 runs and five stolen bases.

For the home team, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The clubs starting pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.21 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .270/.350/.393 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Padres offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .289/.375/.459 with six home runs, 25 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Pirela’s line is .272/.325/.353 with 63 hits, 18 RBIs and 34 runs.

The Braves have gained 4.8 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.9 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 22 that went under.

Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Braves have won three of their last four games SU while the Padres have won five of their last six SU.
  • San Diego has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.0 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 10 over their last 10.