Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds are playing host to the Atlanta Braves at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Southeast will be televising this NL matchup and the action gets going at 12:35 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Cincinnati (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog to Atlanta (-125) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Braves -1.5 runs (+120) and Reds 1.5 runs (-140).

The Braves are 13-10 SU and have gone 14-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 6.5 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 5-19 SU and 10-13 ATS. The team has lost 12.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.4 units ATS.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 10-13 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 10-9-3.

The southpaw Sean Newcomb is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. Newcomb is 1-1 with a 3.74 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and two strikeouts across five innings).

The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Homer Bailey (0-3, 3.68 ERA), who has 20 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Bailey did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.37 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.34 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Cincinnati offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .263/.355/.383 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ hitters have been led by Jesse Winker, who is slashing .311/.442/.361 with 19 hits, seven RBIs and seven runs scored. Winker didn’t seem to enjoy hitting at home last year. Over 67 plate appearances, he slashed .259/.358/.414 (compared to his total season line of .298/.375/.529).

In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.33 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.12 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.18, along with a WHIP of 1.34.

The Braves offense has slashed .265/.342/.426 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Atlanta’s offense has been spearheaded by Freddie Freeman, who is slashing .306/.439/.541 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Braves are coming off a 5-4 victory in the prior game of the series.

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in five of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • Atlanta has posted 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.