Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Free Preview

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will be taking on their division rival New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York is in line to televise the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-135) as the favorite over Atlanta (+125). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over seven runs and -105 for under seven. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Braves +1.5 runs (-170) and Mets -1.5 runs (+150).

The Mets are 43-61 straight up (SU) and 47-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.4 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Braves are 55-47 SU and have gone 54-49 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 14.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Mets games have had an over/under record of 45-54-5 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 51-48-4.

Sean Newcomb is getting the start for Atlanta. The left-handed Newcomb (10-5, 3.23 ERA) has recorded 110 strikeouts in 119.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.38 ERA against New York this year (two starts).

The Mets are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jacob deGrom (5-6, 1.82 ERA), who has 164 punchouts and 32 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.98. deGrom is 0-1 with 31 strikeouts and a 0.72 ERA across four starts against Atlanta this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 41 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.25.

The New York offense has produced 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .244/.324/.429 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario’s line sits at .237/.280/.357 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.70 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.07.

The Braves offense has slashed .258/.327/.418 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Atlanta’s offense has been fueled by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who’ve collectively launched 30 home runs. Markakis is hitting .316/.384/.487 with 12 home runs, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored. Freeman is hitting .315/.397/.528 with 18 homers, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

The Braves have gained 13.7 units and are 40-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • Atlanta has logged 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • The Atlanta defense has allowed eight errors over its last five games, compared to four errors for New York over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 11 over their last 10.