Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against their divisional nemesis New York Mets at Citi Field. The matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the action.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds

Vegas is listing Atlanta (-120) as the favorite over New York (+110). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. You can also wager on the games runline with the current odds standing at Braves -1.5 runs (+125) and Mets +1.5 runs (-145).

The Braves are 58-47 SU and have gone 55-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 44-62 SU and 47-58 ATS. The teams lost 20.4 units for moneyline bettors and 17.6 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 45-55-5 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 51-49-4.

Right-hander Kevin Gausman will get the start for the visiting Braves. Gausman (5-8, 4.43 ERA) has recorded 104 strikeouts in 124 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are sending righty Zack Wheeler (5-6, 4.11 ERA) to the mound. Wheeler has 116 strikeouts and 42 walks to his name, as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Wheeler is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.53 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.70 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.14, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 9.04.

Braves hitters have slashed .260/.328/.423 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who collectively have swatted 30 home runs. Markakis is slashing .316/.384/.487 with 12 home runs, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored. Freeman (.315/.397/.528) is up to 18 homers, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.10, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 42 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.96 and the bullpens ERA is 5.11.

The New York offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .196/.260/.344 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Mets hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .237/.280/.357 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine steals.

The Braves have gained 13.7 units and are 40-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 13.1 units and are 34-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 33 of those games, compared to 39 which went under the total.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have lost five of their last six games SU.
  • Atlanta has posted 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 games.