Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will play their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be televising the action.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds

Atlanta (-120) is favored over New York (+110) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +125 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -145 for the Mets +1.5 runs.

The Braves are 89-69 SU and have gone 81-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 23.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.9 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 74-84 SU and 78-78 ATS. They’ve lost 11.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.4 units ATS.

New York games have an over/under record of 69-78-9 in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 76-74-6.

Julio Teheran will get the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Teheran is 9-8 with a 4.03 ERA and 157 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA against New York this year (four starts).

The Mets are planning to start lefty Jason Vargas (6-9, 6.25 ERA), who has 78 strikeouts and 30 walks, as well as a 1.49 WHIP. Vargas is 1-2 with 12 strikeouts and a 6.14 ERA over three starts against Atlanta this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 72 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.06.

New York’s offense has put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .216/.335/.346 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Michael Conforto have led the way for the Mets’ offense this year. Rosario is hitting .259/.298/.387 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs, 76 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Conforto’s line is .246/.353/.456 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 77 runs.

In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.12, along with a K-per-9 of 8.87.

Braves hitters have slashed .257/.327/.420 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have paced Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .308/.386/.502 with 23 home runs, 95 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis (.301/.368/.447) has produced 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

The Braves have lost 2.6 units and are 18-26 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 4.0 units and are 58-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 53 of those games, as opposed to 56 which went under the total.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in only two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Atlanta fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to three errors for New York over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit six over their last 10.