Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Betting Preview

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Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves will take on their divisional foe New York Mets at Citi Field in a Saturday showdown. Pix11 will showcase the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds

Las Vegas has Atlanta (+105) as the underdog to New York (-115). The total currently stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can play the over or the under for -110. There’s a runline of Braves +1.5 (-200) and Mets -1.5 (+170) for this matchup.

The Mets are 67-61 straight up (SU) and 66-61 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, losing 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves have gone 78-52 SU this year and are 62-67 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 14.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 4.0 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 65-50-12 in 2019. The Braves have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 64-57-8.

Left-hander Max Fried is getting the start for the visiting Braves. Fried (14-4, 3.84 ERA) has racked up 134 strikeouts in 131.1 innings so far. He’s 2-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Mets are handing the ball to righty Zack Wheeler (9-7, 4.40 ERA), who has 153 strikeouts and 38 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Wheeler is 1-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 5.82 ERA across three starts against Atlanta this year.

Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.31 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.33, along with a K-per-9 of 9.26.

The Braves offense has slashed .261/.338/.457 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. and first baseman Freddie Freeman continue to lead Atlanta’s offense. Acuna Jr. is slashing .295/.379/.537 with 36 home runs, 88 RBIs, 106 runs and 30 stolen bases, while Freeman (.303/.394/.571) is up to 34 homers, 104 RBIs and 100 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.89 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 58 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.38 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.48.

The New York hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .246/.307/.410 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil have paced the Mets’ hitters this year. Rosario is hitting .288/.326/.444 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs, 62 runs and 15 steals, while McNeil’s line is .332/.400/.529 with 15 homers, 55 RBIs and 67 runs.

The Braves have gained 7.8 units and are 46-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 3.6 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 14 that went under.

Braves vs. Mets MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 19 XBH over its last five.
  • Atlanta has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.2 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit seven over their last 10.
  • The Braves have a team OPS of .795 this season and an OPS of .795 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .764 overall and .753 versus righties.