Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will be squaring off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this NL showdown and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Vegas has listed Arizona (-140) as the favorite over Atlanta (+130). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 76-65 straight up (SU) and 71-69 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 2.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 7.0 units (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Braves are 77-64 SU and have gone 71-68 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 15.8 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 0.8 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 61-73-6 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 65-68-6.

Right-hander Julio Teheran is the probable starter for the visiting Braves. Teheran (9-7, 4.05 ERA) has racked up 139 punchouts in 153.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Arizona this year.

The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Clay Buchholz (7-2, 2.05 ERA), who’s got 75 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit as well as a 1.03 WHIP. Buchholz hasn’t faced the Braves yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

Braves hitters have slashed .259/.327/.423 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .311/.375/.467 with 14 home runs, 87 RBIs and 73 runs scored, while Freeman has a .303 average with 21 homers, 83 RBIs and 87 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.17, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.2.

The Arizona offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .255/.362/.373 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta have paced the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .300/.403/.561 with 33 home runs, 82 RBIs and 89 runs scored, while Peralta’s line is .295/.352/.519 with 26 homers, 75 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

The Braves have gained 19.4 units and are 55-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 45 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 0.1 units and are 47-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 40 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve cashed the under.

Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Arizona has posted 17.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.6 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.