Army West Point Black Knights vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: 10/27/2018 Free Betting Pick

betdsiCollege Football, Football

Two teams that prefer running the football, Eagles (-2) are gearing up to welcome the Army West Point Black Knights to Eastern Michigan. This key afternoon matchup will get going at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can watch the action live on CBS Sports Network. These programs met a year ago with the final outcome being a 28-27 win for Army West Point.

Betting Preview: Army West Point Black Knights at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Army West Point is the road underdog in this game and is currently receiving 2 points. The Black Knights are also receiving +100 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -120. If one team can catch a lucky break early on it would produce a nice live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 48 points.

With the line opening at -2 and the total originally set at 48.5, oddsmakers have shifted this game’s outlook slightly.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Black Knights have gained 5.2 units and the Eagles are up 3.0 units.

The Black Knights have gone 5-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Eagles are 4-4 SU.

The Black Knights hope to keep it going after a 31-30 victory over Miami (OH) last week. the Black Knights completed 0-of-2 passes for zero yards. Cam Thomas went zero-for-2 for 0 yards while Kell Walker completed -of- for yards. Thomas (137 yards on 26 rush attempts, one TD) also mounted the ground attack and was complemented by Darnell Woolfolk (96 yards on 22 carries, two TDs). Kell Walker ( receptions, yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

The Eastern Michigan Eagles are coming off of a 42-20 win over Ball State. The defense allowed the Cardinals to run for 227 yards on 32 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Justin Hall was a bright spot in the loss for Ball State, accounting for 81 yards on 10 catches. For Eastern Michigan, Tyler Wiegers completed 22-of-28 passes for 257 yards and three touchdowns. Shaq Vann (63 yards on 20 rush attempts, one TD) and Breck Turner (50 yards on nine carries) spearheaded the running game while Arthur Jackson III (six receptions, 59 yards, one TD) and Mathew Sexton (three catches, 18 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Army West Point has run the ball on 88.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Eastern Michigan has a rush percentage of 56.1 percent. The Black Knights have run for 318.3 yards/game and have 25 scores on the ground this year. The Eagles are averaging 145.1 rush yards per game and have 15 total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then the Black Knights should own the advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness. Their running backs has generated 4.8 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents. The Eagles have tallied 3.6 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.0 to opponents.

The Black Knights offense has averaged 86.4 yards through the air overall and has four passing TDs so far. The Eagles have recorded 260.3 pass yards per outing and have 15 total pass scores.

Army West Point has allowed opponents to run for an average of 105.9 yards and pass for 229.4 yards per game. The Eastern Michigan D has allowed 186.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 213.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.03 to opposing QBs, while the Black Knights have allowed an 8.12 ANY/A.

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. has been more efficient than Wiegers recently, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 9.22for the year (and 14.80 over the last two games). Wiegers’ ANY/A is 7.45 for the year and 8.06 across his past two outings.

Army West Point Black Knights vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Eastern Michigan, ATS Winner: Eastern Michigan, O/U: Over

Betting Notes,

  • The Over/Under for Army West Point’s previous game was set at 47. The over cashed in the team’s 31-30 triumph over Miami (OH).
  • Army West Point, as a team, has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.9 over its last two.
  • Eastern Michigan has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.5 over its past two.
  • The Eastern Michigan offense has lost five fumbles this season while Army West Point has let two get away.
  • Over its last three contests, Army West Point is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • Army West Point has won six of its last seven games SU, with a September 22nd defeat to Oklahoma representing the only loss over that span.
  • The Over/Under for Eastern Michigan’s last match was 45. The over cashed in that 42-20 victory over Ball State.
  • In its last three games, Eastern Michigan is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Black Knights offense has produced four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Eagles have accounted for nine such plays.
  • The Army West Point defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Eastern Michigan has given up five such plays.
  • The Army West Point offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Eastern Michigan has created seven such runs.
  • The Black Knights defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Eagles have given up 13 such runs.
  • Each team defense has created 13 sacks this year.